Vietnam Domestic Prices — April 20, 2026
| Province | Price (VND/kg) | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Dak Nong | 85,200 | -600 |
| Dak Lak | 85,000 | -700 |
| Gia Lai | 85,000 | -700 |
| Lam Dong | 84,500 | -700 |
International Prices
The Brazil Factor
Brazil projects a 75.65 million-bag harvest for 2026-27, up 17.1% from the previous season. Arabica alone rises 23.3% to 44.1 million bags. Rabobank forecasts a 7-10 million bag global surplus — the largest supply pressure since 2020.
Photo: VnExpress
Iran Conflict Logistics Impact
The Iran-US conflict adds 21 days to shipping time for Southeast Asian coffee, creating a logistics-driven price floor. However, supply pressure from Brazil still dominates, causing prices to continue falling despite rising transport costs.
Impact: A Central Highlands farmer holding 10 tonnes of coffee loses approximately VND 6-7 million in value each week if the decline continues.
Farmer Response
Many farmers in Dak Lak and Gia Lai are holding back stock, refusing to sell while waiting for price recovery. This is a common strategy during prolonged declines, but carries significant risk if prices continue falling. With bank loan rates at 8-10% annually, storage costs and opportunity costs are factors to consider.
Photo: Helena Coffee Vietnam